Frontiers of Population Forecasting
İÇİNDEKİLERCONTENTSAcknowledgments Introduction: The Need to Rethink Approaches to Population Forecasts DENNIS A. AHLBURG WOLFGANG LUTZ How Accurate Are the United Nations World Population Projections? Nico KEILMAN Demographic Dimensions in Forecasting: Adding Education to Age and Sex WOLFGANG LUTZ ANNE GOUJON GABRIELE DOBLHAMMER-REITER Household Projection Using Conventional Demographic Data ZENG YI JAMES W. VAUPEL WANG ZHENGLIAN Knowledge Can Improve Forecasts: A Review of Selected Socioeconomic Population Projection Models WARREN C. SANDERSON Should Population Projections Consider "Limiting Factors"-and If So, How? JOEL E. COHEN Expert-Based Probabilistic Population Projections WOLFGANG LUTZ WARREN C. SANDERSON SERGEI SCHERBOV Probabilistic Approaches to Population Forecasting RONALD D. LEE Ways to Improve Population Forecasting: What Should Be Done Differently in the Future? DENNIS A. AHLBURG WOLFGANG LUTZ JAMES W. VAUPEL AUTHORS |