Frontiers of Population Forecasting

Kitap : Frontiers of Population Forecasting

Yazar : * Wolfgang Lutz * James W.Vaupel * Dennis A. Ahlburg

Dil : İngilizce

Bölüm : Nüfusbilim

Yayın Yeri : U.S.A.

ISBN : 0-87834-096-3

ISSN : 0098-7921

Yayın Tarihi : 1999

Yayıncı : The Population Council

Tür : Kitap

Kitap No : 2215

İÇİNDEKİLER

CONTENTS

Acknowledgments
Introduction: The Need to Rethink Approaches to Population Forecasts
DENNIS A. AHLBURG WOLFGANG LUTZ
How Accurate Are the United Nations World Population Projections?
Nico KEILMAN
Demographic Dimensions in Forecasting: Adding Education to Age and Sex
WOLFGANG LUTZ
ANNE GOUJON
GABRIELE DOBLHAMMER-REITER
Household Projection Using Conventional Demographic Data
ZENG YI
JAMES W. VAUPEL
WANG ZHENGLIAN
Knowledge Can Improve Forecasts: A Review of Selected Socioeconomic Population Projection Models
WARREN C. SANDERSON
Should Population Projections Consider "Limiting Factors"-and If So, How?
JOEL E. COHEN
Expert-Based Probabilistic Population Projections
WOLFGANG LUTZ WARREN C. SANDERSON SERGEI SCHERBOV

Probabilistic Approaches to Population Forecasting
RONALD D. LEE
Ways to Improve Population Forecasting: What Should Be Done Differently in the Future?
DENNIS A. AHLBURG WOLFGANG LUTZ JAMES W. VAUPEL
AUTHORS